Fidesz-KDNP in first place, more and more people are turning away from Péter Magyar

The governing parties’ lead remains unchanged

Among the politically active Hungarian population (those who say they are sure or likely to go to the polls), the Fidesz-KDNP alliance is on 40%, followed by the Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) on 31%. The Hungarian Two-Tailed Dog Party (MKKP) is in third place in the party ranking with 7%, while the Our Homeland Movement (Our Homeland Movement) has 6% support. In this poll, the Democratic Coalition, Momentum and the Hungarian Socialist Party (MSZP) are below the 5% threshold, while the share of undecideds is 7%.

Looking only at the preferences of voters who definitely know which party they want to vote for, in a parliamentary election due this Sunday, Fidesz-KDNP would get 42% of the vote, while TISZA would get 34%. MKKP and Our Homeland would each be voted for by 7% of the politically active population who would vote for a party, while 5% would vote for the Democratic Coalition. On this basis, the support for Momentum and MSZP is 3% and 1%, respectively.

Growing distrust in Peter Magyar

Given the fact that the recent weeks have seen a number of controversial political actions and scandals related to the president of the Tisza Party, which have attracted considerable media attention, the survey also covered the perception of Péter Magyar. Magyar was aggressive towards staff at a children’s home, pushed aside Tamás Menczer, a government MP, in the heat of an argument and, according to recently released audio recordings, disparaged his own supporters, MEPs and members of the press, among others. The research data shows that the scandals have had a significant negative impact on the image of Peter Magyar. It is important to emphasise that Magyar’s popularity index (calculated as the difference between favourable and unfavourable opinions) was in the negative range for the whole period under review, from September to December, i.e. the proportion of those who had an unfavourable opinion of him exceeded the proportion of those who had a positive opinion. Moreover, in November, 42% of respondents had a positive opinion of Péter Magyar, while 54% had a negative opinion (minus 12%), while in December, the number of those who had a positive opinion of the politician decreased to 39%, while the number of those who had a negative opinion increased to 57% (minus 18%). It is clear to see that recent events have led to a significant drop of 6 percentage points in the popularity index of the leader of the Tisza Party.