Political Analysis Research Institute

„Our purpose is to understand the deeper structures of the political arrangement and Hungarian society.”

The main objective of the Political Analysis Research Institute Center of the Századvég Foundation is to rigorously and systematically study political phenomena in Hungary using empirical methods in order to gain reliable knowledge about the political behaviour of Hungarian voters and our political institutions. The main focus of the research unit is not on topical political issues, but on fundamental political and sociological research.

About us

We aim to conduct methodological studies that could improve the accuracy of measurements in political science.

Our tools include questionnaire surveys, experiments, qualitative methods (e.g. focus group studies), case studies, digital data and AI-based methods. Our data-driven analyses can support policymakers and lead to better understanding and awareness of political trends among the general public.

Research Institute Director

Ádám Stefkovics has been with the Századvég Foundation since 2012, previously he was Head of the Directorate for Public Opinion and Market Research. He holds a Master’s degree in Sociology from the Faculty of Social Sciences of Eötvös Loránd University, where he is currently a PhD candidate. He is also a Research Fellow at the Centre for Social Science Research of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences and a visiting research fellow at the Institute for Quantitative Social Science at Harvard University. His main research interests are political sociology and survey methodology.

Kutatóink

portré 24 dr. stefkovics ádám

Ádám Stefkovics Dr.

Research Institute Director

Political Analysis Research Institute Center

portré 24 czopf áron

Áron Czopf

Research Fellow

Research Institute for Political Thought of Századvég Foundation

portré 24 hidvégi áron

Áron Hidvégi

Vice-Chairman and Deputy Chief Executive Officer

portré 24 bukovics babett

Babett Bukovics

Lead Researcher

Market and Public Research

Balázs Dobos

Director

Innovation and Corporate Sustainability

portré 24 rozs bálint

Bálint Rozs

Senior Consultant

Energy and Climate Policy

bauer béla

Béla Bauer PhD

Senior Analyst

Academy

speidl bianka

Bianka Speidl Dr.

Senior Analyst

Center for Political Analysis

portré 24 kollár dávid

Dávid Kollár

Operations Manager

Social Processes and Media Research Institute Center

menich dóra

Dóra Menich

Analyst

Education and Culture

portré 24 dallos csaba

Dr. Csaba Dallos

Senior Consultant

Regional Development

portré 24 dr. megadja gábor

Dr. Gábor Megadja

Research Institute Director

Political Thinking Research Institute Center

portré 24 holovács gabriella

Dr. Gabriella Holovács

Senior Consultant

Economic Development

Dr. Zoltán Béky

Regulatory (codification) lawyer

Századvég Foundation, Media Institute

portré 24 bíró zsolt

Dr. Zsolt Bíró

Senior Expert

Economic Development

portré 24 dr. bogáromi eszter

Eszter Bogáromi Dr.

Technical Manager

Market and Public Research

fűrész gábor

Gábor Fűrész

Chairman of the Board

portré 24 kenyeres kinga

Kinga Kenyeres

Director General and Chief Executive Officer

portré 24 dr. kökény lászló

László Kökény Dr.

Senior Advisor

Energy and Climate Policy

portré 24 zenovitz lili

Lili Zenovitz

Lead Researcher

Market and Public Research

Márton Falusi

Researcher

Research Institute for Political Thought of Századvég Foundation

portré 24 gyorgyovich miklós

Miklós Gyorgyovich

Technical Manager

Social Processes and Media Research Institute Center

portré 24 csete makay mónika

Mónika Makay

Operations Manager

Market and Public Research

dr. péntekné simon nikolett

Nikoletta Péntekné Simon Dr.

Analyst

Research Center

portré 24 dr. hortay olivér

Olivér Hortay Dr.

Director, Research Institute Director

Energy and Climate Policy, Economic Trends

portré 24 dr. horváth orsolya

Orsolya Horváth Dr. PhD

Director

Education and Culture

portré 24 koncz péter

Péter Koncz

Senior Analyst

Macroeconomics

portré 24 dr. pillók péter

Péter Pillók Dr.

Research Institute Director

Research Institute Center

götgényi tamás

Tamás Görgényi

Member of the Board

portré 24 hegedűs tamás

Tamás Hegedűs

Senior Macroeconomic Analyst

Macroeconomics

portré 24 isépy tamás

Tamás Isépy

Director

Macroeconomics

portré 24 lászló tamás

Tamás László

Senior Analyst

Social Processes and Media Research Institute Center

századvég

Zoltán Kiszelly

Director

Center for Political Analysis

portré 24 dr. ifj. lomnici zoltán

Zoltán Lomnici Jr Dr.

Lead Expert

Our research activities focus on the following areas

Political behaviour

Political behaviour research is a field that seeks to understand how individuals and groups behave in a political context. This may include the study of voting behaviour, political attitudes, political participation and decision-making processes. Examples of political behaviour research could include the study of how demographic factors such as age or education influence voting patterns.

Political structures and political fragmentation

Research on political structures and fragmentation explores how social and political divisions shape the organisation and functioning of political arrangements. This could include studying the impact of factors such as gender, education or religion on political institutions and processes. Examples of research on political structures and fragmentation include analysing the relationship between income inequality and voter turnout, or how the representation of certain social groups in government affects political outcomes.

Election research

Election research looks at the dynamics and outcomes of elections. This research area could include the study of voters, campaign strategies and the role of the media in shaping election results. Examples of election research include analysing the impact of negative campaigning on voter turnout, or how candidates’ social media use influences public opinion.

Political institutions

Research on political institutions is a field that focuses on the formal and informal structures of government and their functioning. It can cover the study of the design and functioning of legislative bodies, executive agencies and judicial systems, as well as the relationships between these institutions. Examples of research on political institutions include analysing the role of political parties in legislative decision-making, or the influence of interest groups on regulatory agencies.

Globalisation studies

Globalisation studies focus on the growing interconnectedness and interdependence of the world’s political systems and the emergence of global governance structures across national borders. This may include the rise of international organisations and treaties, the growth of transnational social movements, and the growing importance of global norms and values. Examples of political globalisation include the UN’s efforts to coordinate global responses to issues such as human rights, climate change and the role of multinational corporations in shaping national and international policies.

Political communication and media

Political communication and media study the role of different forms of media in shaping political attitudes, behaviour and decision-making. This includes assessing the impact of conventional media, such as newspapers and television, as well as newer forms of digital media, such as social media and online news platforms. Examples of research in political communication and media might include analysing the impact of political advertising on voting patterns, or how political candidates use social media to shape public opinion.

International comparisons

International comparative political science examines political phenomena in different countries and regions of the world to identify similarities, differences and trends. This may include examining the impact of different institutional arrangements, cultural and historical contexts, and economic conditions on policy outcomes. Research in international comparative political science may include, for example, analysing the factors that contribute to the stability or instability of democratic systems in different regions, or how different countries respond to similar policy challenges, such as immigration or climate change.

Legfontosabb tanulmányaink

A large majority of Hungarians find it unacceptable that the Ukrainian leadership is sabotaging the restart of the Druzhba pipeline for political reasons, thereby hindering Hungary’s oil supply. Almost two-thirds also disagree with Brussels’ efforts to ban Russian energy.
The proportion of people opposed to nuclear power plants has fallen to a third, while the number of supporters has more than doubled in ten years in the European Union. The most pro-nuclear Member State is Hungary, where 75% support the technology, 22% accept it, and only 3% oppose it.
According to the February 2026 survey by Századvég Konjunktúrakutató, economic expectations of households improved (up +1.4 index points), while the economic sentiment of companies showed a slight positive shift (+0.1 index points) from the previous month. Thus, the household index, measured on a scale of -100 to +100, strengthened to -5.4, while the business index to -9.8. The last time we measured a more favourable household prosperity index was 47 months ago.
The 2026 survey in Project Europe, like in previous years, aimed to map public attitudes towards the most important public issues affecting our continent. The latest survey goes beyond a wide range of current issues to focus on the perception of European and national identity, the livelihood challenges Europeans face, and the transformation of social and political processes in the wake of a global system change. Among the catalysts for these processes are the impact of the Russia-Ukraine war, the assessment of the EU leadership’s performance, and the transformation of Europe’s relationship with the major powers.
In Syria, the past few weeks have seen the new Sunni Arab government’s forces capture most of the territory previously controlled by the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) in the north and northeast of the country. In response to military operations against Syrian Kurds, Syrian Arabs and Kurds clashed on European streets in Germany, Belgium, and the United Kingdom in mid-January. These clashes were the first that clearly erupted because of the new balance of power in Syria and disrupted public order in Europe. Until recently, the radical manifesto of the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) mobilised Kurds in Europe, but now the latest military operation in Syria is stirring up emotions. This study describes the background to these clashes, their impact on European migration dynamics, and the risks and challenges they pose to integration.
With social unrest intensifying in Iran and a second war between Israel and Iran becoming increasingly likely, Iran and the Shia-Sunni power struggle in the Middle East have once again become the focus of attention in regional and global politics. The first Iran-Israel war (13-24 June 2025) weakened the Iranian regime but did not threaten its survival, especially its arsenal of ballistic missiles. Iran’s second strategic asset, beyond missiles, is the Shia militias in Lebanon, Iraq, and Yemen, which also survived the 2025 attacks and can continue to play a role in the region’s power struggles. First, we need to understand the divide between Sunnis and Shias, its background and current role in Middle Eastern geopolitics, and how it influences the current power struggles between Shias and Sunnis in the Middle East. In light of this, we will then discuss Iran’s ambitions and who is threatened by Iran’s expansion. Lastly, we will examine the possibilities for regime change in Iran. The United States and Israel are not the only countries that support regime change in Iran; countries such as Turkey, Azerbaijan, and the Sunni Arab states (the Gulf states, Jordan, and Syria) would also benefit from it. For the United States, a war against Iran or a regime change, if it were to occur, would make the US the only significant player in the region, thereby minimising the influence of the Russian-Chinese axis on oil and Middle East politics.

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